DEDALO · MARKET STUDY · TULUM, QUINTANA ROO · ES

Nuevo Tulum

Zone market study · Tulum, Quintana Roo

Nuevo Tulum holds 1 active listings and its square metre is asked at +169% above the Tulum median.

Cut-off date
2026-08-25
Sample
1 active listings
Comparables with m²
1
Confidence
Low
Engine
DEDALO nightly tracking
Contents
  1. 01Executive summary
  2. 02Market context · official data
  3. 03List-price distribution
  4. 04Value per m²: the zone vs Tulum
  5. 05Price vs size and the fair-value band
  6. 06Bedroom mix
  7. 07Competitive position across zones
  8. 08Short-term rental seasonality · 12 months
  9. 09Opportunities flagged by the engine
  10. 10Entry comparables (8 most accessible)
  11. 11Official documents — free
  12. 12Methodology, scope and limits
  13. 13FAQ
  14. 14About this document
1Active today
$7,911Median USD/m²
$475KMedian price
$475K–$475KCore ticket (P25–P75)
0%Of Tulum inventory
LowSample confidence · 1 active comparables
44 dDays on market (median)
0%Cut their price (30 d)

01Executive summary

+169%
Zone premium vs Tulum median
$7,911/m² vs $2,941/m² · 1 comparables

02Market context · official data

PRICE APPRECIATION
+9.8%
Quintana Roo · annual (SHF official index)
HOTEL OCCUPANCY
53.3%
Riviera Maya · -14.2 pts YoY (DATATUR)
TULUM AIRPORT
-44.8%
passengers · annual (AFAC)
PESO (USD/MXN)
$16.947
12-mo: -9.1% (weaker peso = cheaper in USD)
HOUSING FINANCE
+62.9%
Tulum · YTD vs prior year (SNIIV)

Macro backdrop — same for the whole Riviera Maya, not zone-specific: official price appreciation (SHF), tourism demand (airports and hotel occupancy), housing finance and FX. Government and market sources, dated.

03List-price distribution

Not enough data for this chart (≥8 listings with registered size required; today there are 1). It will publish as the sample improves — we never pad with estimates.

04Value per m²: the zone vs Tulum

Not enough data for this chart (≥8 listings with registered size required; today there are 1). It will publish as the sample improves — we never pad with estimates.

05Price vs size and the fair-value band

Not enough data for this chart (≥8 listings with registered size required; today there are 1). It will publish as the sample improves — we never pad with estimates.

06Bedroom mix

Not enough data for this chart (≥8 listings with registered size required; today there are 1). It will publish as the sample improves — we never pad with estimates.

07Competitive position across zones

TANKAH–SOLIMAN$6,433REGIÓN 8$3,199ALDEA ZAMÁ$3,154REGIÓN 15$2,895TULUM CENTRO$2,804LA VELETA$2,789CENTRO$2,779REGIÓN 10$2,612REGIÓN 11$2,120HOLISTIKA–TUMB$1,718TULUM$114

Median $/m² per Tulum zone with an honest sample (≥8 comparables). This study’s zone in gold.

08Short-term rental seasonality · 12 months

18%36%55%73%$84$168TROUGH 22%PEAK 39%AUG2025SEPOCTNOVDECJAN2026FEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULOCCUPANCY (P25–P75 · MEDIANA)RATE/NIGHT (USD, EJE DER.)

Monthly occupancy of the Tulum short-term rental market, last 12 months (source: AirROI, as of 2026-08-25). The gold band is the P25–P75 range across listings; the solid line is the median. The dashed green line is the median nightly rate (right axis). This is CITY-level data —between 8,353 and 10,164 active listings depending on the month—, not zone-level: use it to read seasonality, not to value a specific property.

09Opportunities flagged by the engine

No listing in this zone currently prices below its fair-value range — the engine recalculates nightly.

10Entry comparables (8 most accessible)

ListingBdPrice$/m²
Eco Villas de Bambú: Tu refugio frente al mar Monopolio 160 $474,640$7,911

11Official documents — free

The two documents every serious investor checks before buying in Tulum: the Urban Development Plan (PDU 2008) with land uses, densities and height limits, plus the Cancún–Tulum ecological zoning (POET). KML format for Google Earth.

12Methodology, scope and limits

Source & cut-off. Public for-sale listings tracked by DEDALO’s nightly engine (as of 2026-08-25). USD list prices; not closing prices.

Fair value (AVM). Median $/m² of same-zone active comparables, ALWAYS expressed as a range (P25–P75) with a confidence level based on comparable count. Open methodology at /metodologia.html.

Days on market and price cuts. Published from this cut-off onward, computed from the engine’s own history: days since we first saw the listing, and the share of zone listings with at least one price cut in the last 30 days. Nightly tracking started in July 2026, so the median days figure is bounded by the observation window and will grow as history accumulates: today it is a floor, not the final number.

What we do NOT publish yet. 30-day absorption and 90-day trend need more history than we have: they will publish as it accumulates — we’d rather say “not yet” than invent a number.

Conflict of interest, disclosed. DEDALO is operated by a local developer. That is why every calculation uses open methodology and the data shows even when it favors no one.

13FAQ

How many properties are for sale in Nuevo Tulum?
We currently track 1 active listings in Nuevo Tulum, refreshed nightly.

What is the price per m² in Nuevo Tulum?
The current median is $7,911 USD/m² (core range $7,911–$7,911) across 1 active comparables with registered size.

How do you calculate fair value?
Median $/m² of same-zone active comparables, always as a range with a confidence level. Open methodology at /metodologia.html.

14About this document

Document generated automatically by the DEDALO engine on 2026-08-25 from 1 active Nuevo Tulum listings and 1 comparables with registered size (confidence low). USD list prices, not closing prices. DEDALO is operated by a local developer: that is why the methodology is open and we also publish the data that does not suit us. Not investment advice, nor a legally valid appraisal.

Want this study applied to a specific property?

Request the valuation report: real zone comparables, fair-value range and the engine’s read. Free, no strings.

⊹ See the 1 listings on the live map

aidedalo.com/zona/nuevo-tulum

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